-
Pacific-EN: Nws National
From
Weather Alert@21:1/175 to
All on Sun May 9 12:06:00 2021
ABPZ20 KNHC 091502
TWOEP
Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
805 AM PDT Sun May 9 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Tropical Storm Andres located a few hundred miles
south-southeast of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May
15, 2021. During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks
will be issued as conditions warrant.
&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Andres are issued under WMO
header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Andres are issued under
WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
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-
From
Weather Alert@21:1/175 to
All on Sat May 15 08:51:00 2021
ABPZ20 KNHC 151131
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sat May 15 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
Today marks the first day of the eastern North Pacific hurricane
season, which will run until November 30. Long-term averages for
the number of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are
15, 8, and 4, respectively.
The list of names for 2021 is as follows:
Name Pronunciation Name Pronunciation -------------------------------------------------------------
Andres ahn-DRASE Marty MAR-tee
Blanca BLAHN-kah Nora NOOR-ruh
Carlos KAR-loess Olaf OH-lahf
Dolores deh-LOOR-ess Pamela PAM-eh-luh
Enrique ahn-REE-kay Rick rik
Felicia fa-LEE-sha Sandra SAN-druh
Guillermo gee-YER-mo Terry TAIR-ree
Hilda HILL-duh Vivian VIH-vee-uhn
Ignacio eeg-NAH-see-oh Waldo WAHL-doh
Jimena he-MAY-na Xina ZEE-nah
Kevin KEH-vin York york
Linda LIHN-duh Zelda ZEL-dah
One tropical storm, Andres, already formed earlier this month. The
next named storm that develops this season will be Blanca.
This product, the Tropical Weather Outlook, briefly describes
significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for
tropical cyclone formation during the next five days. The issuance
times of this product are 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT. After
the change to standard time in November, the issuance times are
4 AM, 10 AM, 4 PM, and 10 PM PST.
A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide
updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled
issuances of the Tropical Weather Outlook. Special Tropical
Weather Outlooks will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS
headers as the regular Tropical Weather Outlooks.
A standard package of products, consisting of the tropical cyclone
public advisory, the forecast/advisory, the cyclone discussion,
and a wind speed probability product, is issued every six hours
for all ongoing tropical cyclones. In addition, a special
advisory package may be issued at any time to advise of
significant unexpected changes or to modify watches or warnings.
NHC has the option to issue advisories, watches, and warnings for
disturbances that are not yet a tropical cyclone, but which pose
the threat of bringing tropical storm or hurricane conditions to
land areas within 48 hours. For these land-threatening "potential
tropical cyclones", NHC will issue the full suite of advisory and watch/warning products that previously had been issued only for
tropical cyclones. Potential tropical cyclones will share the
naming conventions currently in place for tropical depressions,
being numbered from a single list (e.g., "One-E", "Two-E",
"Three-E", etc.).
The Tropical Cyclone Update is a brief statement to inform of
significant changes in a tropical cyclone, to post or cancel
watches or warnings, or to provide hourly position updates between
intermediate advisories when the storm center is easily followed
by radar. The Tropical Cyclone Update is also used in lieu of
or to precede the issuance of a special advisory package.
Tropical Cyclone Updates, which can be issued at any time, can be
found under WMO header WTPZ61-65 KNHC, and under AWIPS header
MIATCUEP1-5.
$$
Forecaster Papin/Brown
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From
Weather Alert@21:1/175 to
All on Sat May 15 18:55:00 2021
ABPZ20 KNHC 152321
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat May 15 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Stewart
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-
From
Weather Alert@21:1/175 to
All on Sun May 16 07:05:00 2021
ABPZ20 KNHC 161121
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun May 16 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Brown
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-
From
Weather Alert@21:1/175 to
All on Mon May 17 13:20:00 2021
ABPZ20 KNHC 171715
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon May 17 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Brown
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-
From
Weather Alert@21:1/175 to
All on Tue May 18 14:58:00 2021
ABPZ20 KNHC 181711
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue May 18 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
A broad area of low pressure could form in a couple of days a few
hundred miles south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehauntepec.
Thereafter, some slow development is possible while the system
moves to the west at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Landsea
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-
From
Weather Alert@21:1/175 to
All on Wed May 19 15:53:00 2021
ABPZ20 KNHC 191721
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed May 19 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
A low pressure system could form during the next day or so a few
hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Thereafter,
some slow development will be possible while the system moves
westward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Landsea
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-
From
Weather Alert@21:1/175 to
All on Thu May 20 15:15:00 2021
ABPZ20 KNHC 201737
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu May 20 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Shower and thunderstorm activity remains minimal with a weak area of
low pressure located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the
Gulf of Tehuantepec. Additional development of this system is no
longer anticipated as environmental conditions are now forecast to
remain unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.
$$
Forecaster Papin/Beven
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-
From
Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to
ALL on Fri May 21 17:04:00 2021
ABPZ20 KNHC 211711
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri May 21 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Papin/Beven
---
þ SLMR 2.1a þ ....we came in?
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-
From
Weather Alert@21:1/175 to
All on Sat May 22 09:03:00 2021
ABPZ20 KNHC 221120
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sat May 22 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
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-
From
Weather Alert@21:1/175 to
All on Sun May 23 07:38:00 2021
ABPZ20 KNHC 231117
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun May 23 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
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-
From
Weather Alert@21:1/175 to
All on Mon May 24 14:24:00 2021
ABPZ20 KNHC 241727
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon May 24 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
south of the southern coast of Mexico later this week. Conditions
appear favorable for some development of this system thereafter
as it moves westward to west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Latto
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-
From
Weather Alert@21:1/175 to
All on Tue May 25 18:44:00 2021
ABPZ20 KNHC 252312
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue May 25 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
south of the coasts of Guatemala and southern Mexico by this
weekend. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this system as it moves generally westward at 5 to 10
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
Another area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred
miles southwest of the coast of Mexico later this week. Some
gradual development is possible thereafter as the system moves
westward to west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Beven
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-
From
Weather Alert@21:1/175 to
All on Wed May 26 15:00:00 2021
ABPZ20 KNHC 261732
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed May 26 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
south of the coasts of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico by this
weekend. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some
gradual development of this system as it moves generally westward at
5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
Another area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred
miles southwest of the coast of Mexico in a couple of days. Some
gradual development is possible thereafter as the system moves
westward to west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
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-
From
Weather Alert@21:1/175 to
All on Thu May 27 15:54:00 2021
ABPZ20 KNHC 271738
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu May 27 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
A broad area of low pressure located about a thousand miles south
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental
conditions appear only marginally conducive for development of this
system as it moves westward or west-northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Another area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred
miles south of the coast of southeastern Mexico by this weekend.
Environmental conditions appear favorable for some gradual
development of this system as it moves generally westward at 5 to
10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Berg
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
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-
From
Weather Alert@21:1/175 to
All on Fri May 28 09:09:00 2021
ABPZ20 KNHC 281129
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri May 28 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Shower activity has changed little in organization during the past
several hours in association with a broad area of low pressure
located about 950 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula. Some slow development of this system is
possible during the next few days while it moves westward
or west-northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
A trough of low pressure is producing a large area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms several hundred miles south of Acapulco,
Mexico. Some gradual development of this system is possible
during the next several days while it moves slowly westward or west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
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-
From
Weather Alert@21:1/175 to
All on Mon May 31 08:40:00 2021
ABPZ20 KNHC 311118
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Mon May 31 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Two-E, located about 500 miles south-southwest of
Manzanillo, Mexico.
A weak area of low pressure located about 1100 miles southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Significant
development of this system is unlikely as it moves west-
northwestward toward cooler waters and into a drier environment with unfavorable upper-level winds during the day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Two-E are issued under WMO
header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Two-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
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-
From
Weather Alert@21:1/175 to
All on Mon May 31 17:11:00 2021
ABPZ20 KNHC 311713
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon May 31 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Two-E, located about 500 miles south-southwest of
Manzanillo, Mexico.
A weak and broad area of low pressure located about 1200 miles
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula
continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm
activity. This system will be moving west-northwestward toward an
environment of unfavorable upper-level winds, drier air, and cooler
waters during the next day or so. Therefore, significant
development of this disturbance is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Two-E are issued under WMO
header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Two-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
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-
From
Weather Alert@21:1/175 to
All on Tue Jun 1 15:44:00 2021
ABPZ20 KNHC 011724
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue Jun 1 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Blanca, located about 300 miles south of Socorro Island,
Mexico.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Papin/Stewart
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-
From
Weather Alert@21:1/175 to
All on Wed Jun 2 14:42:00 2021
ABPZ20 KNHC 021725
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Jun 2 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Blanca, located about 500 miles south-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Papin/Stewart
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-
From
Weather Alert@21:1/175 to
All on Thu Jun 3 14:43:00 2021
ABPZ20 KNHC 031739
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Jun 3 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Blanca, located several hundred miles south-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.
A broad area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred
miles offshore the southwestern coast of Mexico by this weekend.
Gradual development of this system is possible thereafter as it
moves slowly westward through early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Papin/Stewart
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-
From
Weather Alert@21:1/175 to
All on Fri Jun 4 09:40:00 2021
ABPZ20 KNHC 041135
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Jun 4 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Blanca, located several hundred miles
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.
A trough of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms several hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico.
Additional development of this system is possible over the next
several days, and a tropical depression could form late this weekend
or early next week while it moves slowly to the west-northwest well
off the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
$$
Forecaster Papin/Blake
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-
From
Weather Alert@21:1/175 to
All on Mon Jun 7 14:57:00 2021
ABPZ20 KNHC 071753
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Mon Jun 7 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
Satellite imagery indicates that an area of low pressure located
about 400 miles south of Socorro Island has developed a well-defined
center. However, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity
is not well-organized. Environmental conditions are expected to
become increasingly unfavorable beginning tonight, and the chances
of a short-lived tropical depression forming are decreasing. The
system is forecast to move slowly west-southwestward during the next
couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
A broad trough of low pressure is expected to form a couple of
hundred miles south of the coasts of southern Mexico, El Salvador,
and Guatemala in a day or two. Environmental conditions appear
favorable for some development thereafter, and a tropical depression
could form by the end of the week as the system moves slowly
northwestward or northward. Regardless of development, this system
could produce heavy rainfall over portions of Central America and
southern Mexico later this week and into the weekend. See products
from your local meteorological service for more information.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Blake
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
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-
From
Weather Alert@21:1/175 to
All on Tue Jun 8 14:28:00 2021
ABPZ20 KNHC 081743
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue Jun 8 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
A broad area of low pressure is expected to form a couple of hundred
miles south of the coasts of southern Mexico, El Salvador, and
Guatemala by Thursday. Environmental conditions appear favorable
for some gradual development, and a tropical depression could form
by the end of the week or over the weekend as the system drifts
generally northward. Regardless of development, this system could
produce heavy rainfall over portions of Central America and southern
Mexico later this week and into the weekend. See products from your
local meteorological service for more information.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Pasch
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
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-
From
Weather Alert@21:1/175 to
All on Wed Jun 9 13:46:00 2021
ABPZ20 KNHC 091749
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Jun 9 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
A broad area of low pressure is expected to form a couple of hundred
miles south of the coasts of southern Mexico and Guatemala during
the next day or two. Environmental conditions appear favorable for
some gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression could
form this weekend as the system drifts generally northward.
Regardless of development, this system could produce heavy rainfall
over portions of Central America and southern Mexico late this week
and into the weekend. See products from your local meteorological
service for more information.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Beven
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
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-
From
Weather Alert@21:1/175 to
All on Thu Jun 10 13:30:00 2021
ABPZ20 KNHC 101742
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Jun 10 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
A broad area of low pressure located about 900 miles south-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to
produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms along
the eastern Pacific monsoon trough. Environmental conditions appear
favorable for some gradual development over the next few days, and a
tropical depression could form by early next week as the system
moves slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
A broad trough of low pressure located several hundred miles south
of the coast of southern Mexico is producing a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression
could form this weekend or early next week while the system drifts
generally northward. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall
could occur over portions of Central America and southern Mexico
through early next week. See products from your local
meteorological service for more information.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Beven
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
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-
From
Weather Alert@21:1/175 to
All on Sun Jun 20 06:54:00 2021
ABPZ20 KNHC 201121
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Jun 20 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Dolores, located inland over central Mexico.
An area of low pressure is expected to form south of Guatemala and
the Gulf of Tehuantepec by late Wednesday or Thursday. Some
development will be possible thereafter while the system moves west-northwestward parallel to and just offshore the southern coast
of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Stewart
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
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From
Weather Alert@21:1/175 to
All on Sun Jun 20 18:16:00 2021
ABPZ20 KNHC 201723
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sun Jun 20 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
An area of low pressure is expected to form south of Guatemala and
the Gulf of Tehuantepec by late Wednesday or Thursday. Some
development will be possible thereafter while the system moves west-northwestward parallel to and just offshore the southern coast
of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Stewart
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
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-
From
Weather Alert@21:1/175 to
All on Tue Jun 22 16:49:00 2021
ABPZ20 KNHC 221732
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue Jun 22 2021
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms to the south
of Central America is associated with a tropical wave. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system,
and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week
or this weekend. This disturbance is expected to move slowly west-northwestward to northwestward, and could be near the coast of
southern Mexico by the weekend. Interests in southern Mexico should
monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
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