WTIN20 DEMS 140815

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 14.01.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF
BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600
UTC OF 14.01.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 14.01.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL & SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS DURING NEXT 120 HRS:



24 HOURS


24-48 HOURS


48-72 HOURS


72-96 HOURS


96-120 HOURS

NIL


NIL


NIL


NIL


NIL





ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA. SCATTERED LOW AND
MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION
LAY OVER NORTH ARABIAN SEA.





PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS DURING NEXT 120 HRS :





24 HOURS


24-48 HOURS


48-72 HOURS


72-96 HOURS


96-120 HOURS

NIL


NIL


NIL


NIL


NIL



REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 150600


REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES,
NEW DELHI
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 15.01.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
15.01.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 15.01.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL AND ISOLATED
MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL &
NORTH ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS DURING NEXT 120 HRS:



24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL





ARABIAN SEA:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA AND MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER COMORIN.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS DURING NEXT 120 HRS :





24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL



REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 170600
DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 17.01.2021

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
17.01.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 17.01.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AND MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL & SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS DURING NEXT 120 HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120
HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ARABIAN SEA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS DURING NEXT 120 HRS : NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 180629

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 18.01.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC
OF 18.01.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 18.01.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION
LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS DURING NEXT 120 HRS:


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL



ARABIAN SEA:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS DURING NEXT 120 HRS :


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL



REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 210625
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 21.01.2021

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN
SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 21.01.2021 BASED
ON 0300 UTC OF
21.01.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL. SCATTERED LOW
AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE
CONVECTION LAY OVER ANDAMAN SEA.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS DURING NEXT 120 HRS:
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL
ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST & SOUTHCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA AND
COMORIN.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS DURING NEXT 120 HRS :
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 210625
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 21.01.2021

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN
SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 21.01.2021 BASED
ON 0300 UTC OF
21.01.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL. SCATTERED LOW
AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE
CONVECTION LAY OVER ANDAMAN SEA.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS DURING NEXT 120 HRS:
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL
ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST & SOUTHCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA AND
COMORIN.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS DURING NEXT 120 HRS :
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 220618



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 22.01.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
22.01.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 22.01.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS LAY OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL
AND ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS DURING NEXT 120 HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL





ARABIAN SEA:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO
MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA AND
COMORIN REGION.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS DURING NEXT 120 HRS :


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 230700
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 23.01.2021
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 23.01.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF
23.01.2021.
BAY OF BENGAL:
NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS OVER THE REGION.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS DURING NEXT 120 HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL
ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA OFF SOUTH KERALA COAST.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS DURING NEXT 120 HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 160600
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 16.02.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 16.02.2021 .



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AND NORTH ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS:



24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL



ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS :


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL



REMARKS: NIL
$$
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 170620
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 17.02.2021

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
17.02.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 17.02.2021 .

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO MODERATE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


ARABIAN SEA:

NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS OVER THE REGION.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS : NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 180616
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 18.02.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 18.02.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 18.02.2021 .



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL AND NORTH ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS:



24 HOURS24-48 HOURS48-72 HOURS72-96 HOURS96-120 HOURS

NILNILNILNILNIL





ARABIAN SEA:



NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS OVER THE REGION.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS :





24 HOURS24-48 HOURS48-72 HOURS72-96 HOURS96-120 HOURS

NILNILNILNILNIL







REMARKS: NIL
$$
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 190552
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 19.02.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
19.02.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 19.02.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:





SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER CENTRAL ADJOINING SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


ARABIAN SEA:



NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS OVER THE REGION.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL



REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 200600
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 20.02.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF
20.02.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION OVER NORTH BAY OF BENGAL, CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL &
EXTREME SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS
WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION OVER REST OF
SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND ANDAMAN SEA.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO MODERATE
CONVECTION OVER NORTH ARABIAN SEA.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS: NIL
$$
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 210609
DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 21.02.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
21.02.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 21.02.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO MODERATE
CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTH AND WESTCENTRAL ADJOINING SOUTHWEST BAY OF
BENGAL.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:



24 HOURS


24-48 HOURS


48-72 HOURS


72-96 HOURS


96-120 HOURS

NIL


NIL


NIL


NIL


NIL





ARABIAN SEA:



NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS OVER THE REGION.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :





24 HOURS


24-48 HOURS


48-72 HOURS


72-96 HOURS


96-120 HOURS

NIL


NIL


NIL


NIL


NIL

REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 220806

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 22.02.2021

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF
BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT
0600 UTC OF 22.02.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 22.02.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK
CONVECTION OVER CENTRAL PARTS OF CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL AND
SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING
NEXT 120 HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK
CONVECTION OVER EASTCENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING
NEXT 120 HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 230552
DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 23.02.2021

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
23.02.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 23.02.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:

NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS OVER THE REGION.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS:


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL





ARABIAN SEA:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO
MODERATE
CONVECTION LAY OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 260546

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 26.01.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC
OF 26.01.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 26.01.2021 .



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE TO
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AND ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL



ARABIAN SEA:





SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER EXTREME SOUTHCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA AND
ADJOINING EQUITORIAL INDIAN OCEAN.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL



REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 270620
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 27.01.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF
27.01.2021 .
BAY OF BENGAL:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AND CENTRAL
ANDAMAN SEA.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA AND ADJOINING
EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 280550
REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW
DELHI TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 28.01.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
28.01.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 28.01.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL. SCATTERED LOW AND
MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY
OVER WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL & ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS DURING NEXT 120 HRS:



24 HOURS


24-48 HOURS


48-72 HOURS


72-96 HOURS


96-120 HOURS

NIL


NIL


NIL


NIL


NIL





ARABIAN SEA:



NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS OVER THE REGION.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS DURING NEXT 120 HRS :





24 HOURS


24-48 HOURS


48-72 HOURS


72-96 HOURS


96-120 HOURS

NIL


NIL


NIL


NIL


NIL



REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 300616

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 30.01.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
30.01.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 30.01.2021 .



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL



ARABIAN SEA:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO
MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHERN PARTS OF SOUTHEAST ARABIAN
SEA AND COMORIN AREA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 310600
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 31.01.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF
31.01.2021 .
BAY OF BENGAL:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO MODERATE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE
TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 010617
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 01.02.2021
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN
SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 01.02.2021 BASED
ON 0300 UTC OF
01.02.2021 .
BAY OF BENGAL:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO
MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL AND SOUTH
ANDAMAN SEA.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:
24 HOURS
24-48 HOURS
48-72 HOURS
72-96 HOURS
96-120 HOURS
NIL
NIL
NIL
NIL
NIL
ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA AND COMORIN AREA.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :
24 HOURS
24-48 HOURS
48-72 HOURS
72-96 HOURS
96-120 HOURS
NIL
NIL
NIL
NIL
NIL
REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 030602

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 03.02.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
03.02.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 03.02.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


ARABIAN SEA:


SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWESTERN PARTS OF SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 040600
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 04.02.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF
04.02.2021 .
BAY OF BENGAL:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND WEAK TO
MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS:n

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 060600

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 06.02.2021

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 06.02.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 06.02.2021 .

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY

INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND ADJOINING

EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN AND SOUTHWEST PARTS OF SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:N

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ARABIAN SEA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120
HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 070611
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 07.02.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
07.02.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 07.02.2021 .



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND ADJOINING EQUATORIAL
INDIAN OCEAN BETWEEN LATITUDE EQUATOR TO 8.00N AND LONGITUDE 80.00E
TO 90.00E.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS:N



24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO
MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER EXTREME WESTCENTRAL ADJOINING
SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 080620

REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES,
NEW DELHI TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 08.02.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY
OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED
AT 0600 UTC OF 08.02.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 08.02.2021 .



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO
VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL
ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN.





PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING
NEXT 120 HRS:



24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL LOW MODERATE MODERATE NIL





ARABIAN SEA:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO
MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTHWEST ADJOINING WESTCENTRAL
ARABIAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING
NEXT 120 HRS :





24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL





REMARKS: NIL
$$
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 090534

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 09.02.2021
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 09.02.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 09.02.2021 .

BAY OF BENGAL:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER CENTRAL PARTS OF SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND
ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS:
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120
OURS
48-72 HOURS
NIL
NIL NIL NIL NIL
ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO
MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTH ARABIAN SEA.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS :
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL REMARKS: NIL
$$
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 100550

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 10.02.2021

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 10.02.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 10.02.2021 .

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION OVER EXTREME SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTHWEST ARABIAN SEA AND ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTHEAST & WESTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 120615
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 12.02.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF
12.02.2021 .

BAY OF BENGAL:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHERN PARTS OF CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL &
EXTREME SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

ARABIAN SEA:
NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS OVER THE REGION.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS: NIL
$$
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 130600

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 13.02.2021
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 13.02.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF
13.02.2021 .
BAY OF BENGAL:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL ADJOINING
EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS:
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120
OURS
48-72 HOURS
NIL
NIL NIL NIL NIL
ARABIAN SEA:
NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS OVER THE REGION.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS :
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 140604
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 14.02.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 14.02.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 14.02.2021 .



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION OVER SOUTHCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL AND MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION OVER REST OF SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS:



24 HOURS24-48 HOURS48-72 HOURS72-96 HOURS96-120 HOURS

NILNILNILNILNIL





ARABIAN SEA:



NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS OVER THE REGION.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS :


24 HOURS24-48 HOURS48-72 HOURS72-96 HOURS96-120 HOURS

NILNILNILNILNIL







REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 150614

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 15.02.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC
OF 15.02.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 15.02.2021 .



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTH PARTS OF SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


ARABIAN SEA:



NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS OVER THE REGION.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL



REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 110700

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 11.01.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 11.01.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL & SOUTH SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER WESTCENTRAL & SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL .



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS DURING NEXT 120 HRS:



24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


ARABIAN SEA:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER EASTCENTRAL & SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA & COMORIN REGION .



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS DURING NEXT 120 HRS :


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL



REMARKS: Nil
#
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 130600


DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 13.01.2021

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
13.01.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 13.01.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION
LAY OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS DURING NEXT 120 HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120
HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO
VERY
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA & COMORIN REGION.
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION
LAY OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA AND WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY
OVER
CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS DURING NEXT 120 HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120
HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL



REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 250559
DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 25.02.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
25.02.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 25.02.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE TO
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER EXTEREME SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AND
SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:



24 HOURS


24-48 HOURS


48-72 HOURS


72-96 HOURS


96-120 HOURS

NIL


NIL


NIL


NIL


NIL





ARABIAN SEA:



NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS OVER THE REGION.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :





24 HOURS


24-48 HOURS


48-72 HOURS


72-96 HOURS


96-120 HOURS

NIL


NIL


NIL


NIL


NIL







REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 260600
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 26.02.2021
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN
SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 26.02.2021 BASED
ON 0300 UTC OF 26.02.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED W EAK TO
MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL & SOUTHW EST
PARTS
OF SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 72-96 HOURS
96-120 HOURS
48-72 HOURS

NIL
NIL NIL NIL NIL
ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA OFF KERELA COAST AND
ISOLATED
WEAK CONVECTION OVER NORTHW EST ARABIAN SEA.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS
96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL
NIL
REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 270615

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 27.02.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC
OF 27.02.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 27.02.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK
CONVECTION LAY OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL





ARABIAN SEA:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK
CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTH ARABIAN SEA .


PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 280600
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 28.02.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 28.02.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS OVER THE REGION.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING
NEXT 120 HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL



ARABIAN SEA:


NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS OVER THE REGION.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING
NEXT 120 HRS :


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 010620
REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES,
NEW DELHI
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 01.03.2021

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
01.03.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 01.03.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:

NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS OVER THE REGION.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


ARABIAN SEA:

NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS OVER THE REGION.


PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 020600

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 02.03.2021

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN

SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 02.03.2021 BASED
ON 0300 UTC OF

02.03.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED W EAK TO
MODERATE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120
HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED W EAK CONVECTION LAY OVER

CENTRAL PARTS OF CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS
96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

REMARKS: NIL

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION):NIL:
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
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WTIN20 DEMS 020600

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 02.03.2021

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN

SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 02.03.2021 BASED
ON 0300 UTC OF

02.03.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED W EAK TO
MODERATE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120
HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED W EAK CONVECTION LAY OVER

CENTRAL PARTS OF CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS
96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

REMARKS: NIL

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION):NIL:
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
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WTIN20 DEMS 030607

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 03.03.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC
OF 03.03.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 03.03.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


ARABIAN SEA:



NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS OVER THE REGION.





PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 040600
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 04.03.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 04.03.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED INTENSE TO VERY
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

ARABIAN SEA:

NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS OVER THE REGION
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 050605
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 05.03.2021

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 05.03.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 05.03.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL SOUTH OF LATITUDE 10.00N. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


ARABIAN SEA:

NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS OVER THE REGION.


PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS :
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 060530

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 06.03.2021

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
06.03.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 06.03.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL & SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO
MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120
HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL



ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO
MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA & COMORIN REGION.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120
HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL



REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 070555

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 07.03.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
07.03.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 07.03.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA AND ADJOINING SOUTHEAST BAY OF
BENGAL.





PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL



ARABIAN SEA:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO
MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL



REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 080530
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 08.03.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF
08.03.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER EXTREME SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL & SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA. PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL & SOUTH-EAST ARABIAN SEA, OFF SOUTH
KERALA COAST.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 090520
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 09.03.2021

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
09.03.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 09.03.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL & ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN
OCEAN.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER COMORIN REGION, ADJOINING SOUTH-EAST ARABIAN SEA
AND MALDIVES.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 110607
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 11.03.2021
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 11.03.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 11.03.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:
NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS OVER THE REGION
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ADJOINING SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA &
MALDIVES.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 140600

REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW
DELHI

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 14.03.2021

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN

SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 14.03.2021 BASED
ON 0300 UTC OF

14.03.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND NORTH TENASSERIM COAST.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION OVER NORTHWEST ARABIAN SEA, SOUTH ARABIAN SEA AND COMORIN

AREA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 150550
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 15.03.2021

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
15.03.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 15.03.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:

NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS OVER THE REGION.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ARABIAN SEA ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN
OCEAN BETWEEN EQUATOR TO LATITUDE 9.00N , LONGITUDE 50.00E TO 80.00E
& MALDIVES.
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
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WTIN20 DEMS 160545



REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW
DELHI TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 16.03.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
16.03.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 16.03.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



ISOLATED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO
MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER EXTREME SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:



24 HOURS


24-48 HOURS


48-72 HOURS


72-96 HOURS


96-120 HOURS

NIL


NIL


NIL


NIL


NIL





ARABIAN SEA:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH PARTS OF CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA AND SOUTH
ARABIAN SEA ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :





24 HOURS


24-48 HOURS


48-72 HOURS


72-96 HOURS


96-120 HOURS

NIL


NIL


NIL


NIL


NIL


REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 180540

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 18.03.2021

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN

SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 18.03.2021 BASED
ON 0300 UTC OF

18.03.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL & SOUTH OF LAT 10.0N.
SCATTERED LOW

AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER

NORTHEAST & REST OF SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120
HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER EXTREME SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA COMORIN AND
MODERATE

TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER REST OF SOUTH ARABIAN SEA. SCATTERED
LOW

AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK CONVECTION LAY OVER
NORTH

ARABIAN SEA GULF OF KUTCH.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120
HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL





REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
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WTIN20 DEMS 190643
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 19.03.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
19.03.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 19.03.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL SOUTH OF LAT
10.0N. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS OVER REST BAY OF BENGAL.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:



24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL





ARABIAN SEA:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO MODERATE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA & COMORIN.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL





REMARKS: NIL
=

--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 200600

REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW
DELHI

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 20.03.2021
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN
SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 20.03.2021 BASED
ON 0300 UTC OF
20.03.2021.
BAY OF BENGAL:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL ADJOINING EQUATORIAL
INDIAN
OCEAN . SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO
MODERATE
CONVECTION LAY NORTHWEST & REST SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:
24 HOURS
24-48 HOURS
48-72 HOURS
72-96 HOURS
96-120 HOURS
NIL
NIL
NIL
NIL
NIL
ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA OFF KERALA COAST ADJOINING
COMORIN REGION.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :
24 HOURS
24-48 HOURS
48-72 HOURS
72-96 HOURS
96-120 HOURS
NIL
NIL
NIL
NIL
NIL
REMARKS: NIL
PAGE 2
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION):NIL: 0%, LOW:
1-25%, FAIR: 26-50%, MODERATE: 51-75% AND HIGH: 76-100%

THIS IS A GUIDANCE BULLETIN FOR THE WMO/ESCAP PANEL MEMBER
COUNTRIES,. PLEASE VISIT RESPECTIVE NATIONAL WEBSITES FOR COUNTRY
SPECIFIC BULLETINS

NO CYCLOGENESIS OVER NORTH INDIAN
OCEAN DURING NEXT 24 HOURS
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
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WTIN20 DEMS 210600


REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES,
NEW DELHI
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 21.03.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
21.03.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 21.03.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO
MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER WESTCENTRAL & NORTH BAY OF BENGAL.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS:



24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


ARABIAN SEA:



NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS OVER THE REGION.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING
NEXT 120 HRS :





24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL





REMARKS: NIL
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WTIN20 DEMS 230543
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 23.03.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
23.03.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 23.03.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AND SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:



24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION OVER COMORIN AND NEIGHBOURHOOD AREA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


REMARKS: NIL
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WTIN20 DEMS 240620

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 24.03.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 24.03.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL AND SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION OVER REST SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND ANDAMAN SEA.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA & COMORIN.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS: NIL
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WTIN20 DEMS 250605
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 25.03.2021

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
25.03.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 25.03.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AT SOUTH OF LATITUDE 10.0ON.
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO MODERATE
CONVECTION OVER CENTRAL PARTS OF CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL AND ANDAMAN
SEA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


ARABIAN SEA:

BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE
CONVECTION OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA OFF KERALA COAST AND ADJOINING
COMORIN & NEIGHBOURHOOD.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :
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WTIN20 DEMS 260635

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 26.03.2021
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN
SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 26.03.2021 BASED
ON 0300 UTC OF 26.03.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:
SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO
VERY
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AND ANDAMAN SEA.
SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA .
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

REMARKS: NIL

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION):NIL: 0%, LOW:
1-25%, FAIR: 26-50%, MODERATE: 51-75% AND HIGH: 76-100%
THIS IS A GUIDANCE BULLETIN FOR THE WMO/ESCAP PANEL MEMBER
COUNTRIES,. PLEASE VISIT RESPECTIVE NATIONAL WEBSITES FOR COUNTRY
SPECIFIC BULLETINS
NO CYCLOGENESIS OVER NORTH INDIAN
OCEAN DURING NEXT 24 HOURS
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WTIN20 DEMS 270648
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 27.03.2021


TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
27.03.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 27.03.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO
VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL, SOUTH OF LATITUDE 10.00N.
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER ANDAMAN SEA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


ARABIAN SEA:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER COMORIN ADJOINING SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA &
MALDIVES.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS :


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL






REMARKS: NIL
=
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WTIN20 DEMS 280555
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 28.03.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF
28.03.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO
INTENSE CONVECTION OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND ANDAMAN SEA. SCATTERED
LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION OVER
REST OF BAY OF BENGAL.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS
WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION OVER COMORIN.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

REMARKS: NIL
=
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WTIN20 DEMS 290720
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 29.03.2021

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
29.03.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 29.03.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:

A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL (BOB) &
NEIGHBOURHOOD WITH VERTICAL EXTENSION UPTO 4.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL. UNDER ITS INFLUENCE, A LOW PRESSURE AREA IS LIKELY TO FORM
OVER SOUTHEAST BOB & ADJOINING SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA DURING NEXT 48
HOURS. IT IS LIKELY TO BECOME MORE MARKED OVER NORTH ANDAMAN SEA & NEIGHBOURHOOD DURING SUBSEQUENT 24 HOURS.
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AND ANDAMAN SEA.
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO MODERATE
CONVECTION LAY OVER REST OF BAY OF BENGAL.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL LOW LOW


ARABIAN SEA:

A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDING UPTO 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL LAY
OVER EIO & ADJOINING SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA (AS). UNDER ITS INFLUENCE,
A LOW PRESSURE AREA IS LIKELY TO FORM OVER SOUTHEAST AS &
NEIGHBOURHOOD DURING NEXT 24 HOURS.

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

REMARKS:

SEA CONDITIONS OVER THE NIO:
THE MADDEN JULIAN OSCILLATION (MJO) INDEX LIES CURRENTLY IN PHASE 4
WITH AMPLITUDE MORE THAN 1. IT WILL CONTINUE IN SAME PHASE DURING
NEXT 48 HOURS. THEREAFTER, IT WILL MOVE TO PHASE 5 AND WILL CONTINUE
IN SAME PHASE FOR SUBSEQUENT 4 DAYS WITH AMPLITUDE REMAINING MORE
THAN 1. THUS, MJO PHASE AND AMPLITUDE WILL SUPPORT ENHANCEMENT OF
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY OVER THE BAY OF BENGAL (BOB) DURING NEXT 5 DAYS.
IT IS NOT CONDUCIVE FOR ENHANCEMENT OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY OVER THE
ARABIAN SEA (AS).
THE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE (SST) IS 29-30?C OVER ENTIRE BOB AND OVER
ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN (EIO). THE TROPICAL CYCLONE HEAT
POTENTIAL (TCHP) IS MORE THAN 100 KJ/CM2 OVER SOUTHEAST BOB, SOUTH
ANDAMAN SEA AND ADJOINING EIO. SST IS 29-31?C OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN
SEA AND NEIGHBOURHOOD. TCHP IS MORE THAN 100 KJ/CM2 OVER SOUTHEAST AS
& ADJOINING EIO.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS OVER BOB:
THE LOW LEVEL POSITIVE VORTICITY IS ABOUT 50 X10-6SEC-1 OVER CENTRAL
PARTS OF SOUTH BOB AND ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN (EIO).
POSITIVE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ZONE (5-10X10-5 SEC-1) LAY OVER
SOUTHEAST BOB AND ADJOINING EIO. POSITIVE ZONE OF UPPER LEVEL
DIVERGENCE (5-10X10-5 SEC-1) LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BOB & ADJOINING EIO
AND IS EXTENDING UPTO EASTCENTRAL BOB. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS
MODERATE (10-20 KTS) OVER SOUTH BOB & ADJOINING EIO WITH AN
INCREASING TENDENCY TOWARDS NORTH BOB.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS OVER AS:
LOW LEVEL POSITIVE VORTICITY OF ABOUT 100 X10-6SEC-1 LAY OVER EIO AND
ADJOINING SOUTHEAST AS & MALDIVES AREA. POSITIVE LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE ZONE (60X10-5 SEC-1) LAY OVER EIO & ADJOINING SOUTHEAST
AS. POSITIVE ZONE (60X10-5 SEC-1) OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE LAY OVER
EIO & ADJOINING SOUTHEAST AS. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS MODERATE (15-20
KTS) OVER EIO & ADJOINING MALDIVES AND OVER SOUTHEAST AS.
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WTIN20 DEMS 300722
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 30.03.2021

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
30.03.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 30.03.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:

YESTERDAY'S CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL
(BOB) & NEIGHBOURHOOD LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BOB & ADJOINING SOUTH
ANDAMAN SEA WITH VERTICAL EXTENSION UPTO 4.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL. UNDER ITS INFLUENCE, A LOW PRESSURE AREA IS LIKELY TO FORM
OVER SOUTHEAST BOB & ADJOINING SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA DURING NEXT
24 HOURS. IT IS LIKELY TO BECOME MORE MARKED OVER NORTH ANDAMAN
SEA & NEIGHBOURHOOD DURING SUBSEQUENT 24 HOURS.

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE CONVECTION
OVER SOUTHEAST BOB, ANDAMAN SEA AND TENASSERIM COAST.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING
NEXT 120 HRS:

24 HOURS NIL
24-48 HOURS NIL
48-72 HOURS LOW
72-96 HOURS LOW
96-120 HOURS LOW

ARABIAN SEA:

UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER EQUATORIAL
INDIAN OCEAN (EIO) & ADJOINING SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA (AS), A LOW
PRESSURE AREA FORMED OVER EIO TO THE SOUTH OF SOUTHEAST ARABIAN
SEA AT 1200 UTC OF 29TH MARCH, 2021. IT LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN
SEA & ADJOINING EIO AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 30TH MARCH 2021 WITH
ASSOCIATED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDING UPTO 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN
SEA LEVEL.

AS PER SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 0300 UTC OF 30TH MARCH, 2021, SCATTERED
LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST AS BETWEEN LATITUDE 4.0N & 8.0N AND
LONG 66.0E & 70.0E IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER
SOUTHEAST AS AND ADJOINING EIO. MINIMUM CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE IS
MINUS 86 DEG C. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED
MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER REST PARTS OF SOUTH AS.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING
NEXT 120 HRS :


24 HOURS NIL
24-48 HOURS NIL
48-72 HOURS NIL
72-96 HOURS NIL
96-120 HOURS NIL

REMARKS:

SEA CONDITIONS OVER THE NIO:

THE MADDEN JULIAN OSCILLATION (MJO) INDEX LIES CURRENTLY IN
PHASE 5 WITH AMPLITUDE MORE THAN 1. IT WILL CONTINUE IN SAME
PHASE DURING NEXT 4 DAYS. THEREAFTER, IT WILL MOVE TO PHASE 6
WITH AMPLITUDE REMAINING MORE THAN 1. THUS, MJO PHASE AND AMPLITUDE
WILL SUPPORT ENHANCEMENT OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY OVER THE BAY OF
BENGAL (BOB) DURING NEXT 5 DAYS. IT IS NOT CONDUCIVE FOR ENHANCEMENT
OF ANY CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY OVER THE ARABIAN SEA (AS).
THE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE (SST) IS 29-30 DEG. C OVER ENTIRE BOB
AND OVER ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN (EIO). THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE HEAT POTENTIAL (TCHP) IS MORE THAN 100 KJ/CM2 OVER
SOUTHEAST BOB, SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA AND ADJOINING EIO. SST
IS 29-31?C OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA AND NEIGHBOURHOOD. TCHP
IS MORE THAN 100 KJ/CM2 OVER SOUTHEAST AS & ADJOINING EIO.

ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS OVER BOB:
THE LOW LEVEL POSITIVE VORTICITY IS ABOUT 50-60 X10-6SEC-1 OVER
CENTRAL PARTS OF SOUTHEAST BOB AND ADJOINING SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.
POSITIVE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ZONE (5-10X10-5 SEC-1) LAY OVER
SOUTHSOUTH ANDAMAN SEA. POSITIVE ZONE OF UPPER LEVEL
DIVERGENCE (5-10X10-5 SEC-1) LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BOB AND IS
EXTENDING UPTO EASTCENTRAL BOB. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS
MODERATE (5-10 KTS) OVER SOUTH BOB & ADJOINING CENTRAL
BOB WITH AN INCREASING TENDENCY TOWARDS NORTH BOB. THE
UPPER TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE RAN ALONG 10.5ON OVER THE BOB.

ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS OVER AS:
A ZONE OF POSITIVE LOW LEVEL VORTICITY (50-60 X10-6SEC-1) LAY
OVER SOUTHEAST AS & MALDIVES AREA. POSITIVE LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE ZONE (5X10-5 SEC-1) LAY OVER SOUTHEAST AS. POSITIVE
ZONE (5-10X10-5 SEC-1) OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE LAY OVER CENTRAL
PARTS OF SOUTH AS. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS MODERATE (10-15 KTS)
OVER ENTIRE AS.

MODEL GUIDANCE:

THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHEAST BOB AND ADJOINING SOUTH
ANDAMAN SEA IS CURRENTLY LYING IN A FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT. MOST
OF THE MODELS ARE INDICATING LIKELY FORMATION OF LOW PRESSURE
AREA OVER SOUTHEAST BOB & ADJOINING SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA DURING
NEXT 24 HOURS WITH FURTHER INTENSIFICATION DURING SUBSEQUENT
24 HOURS OVER NORTH ANDAMAN SEA. HOWEVER, THERE IS LARGE
DIVERGENCE AMONG VARIOUS MODELS WITH RESPECT TO PEAK
INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM. HOWEVER, MODELS ARE UNANIMOUS
ABOUT NORTH-NORTHEASTWARDS MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM TOWARDS MYANMAR
COAST. MODELS ARE ALSO INDICATING A LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER SOUTHEAST
AS & NEIGHBOURHOOD WITH WEAKENING DURING NEXT 24 HOURS.
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WTIN20 DEMS 310740
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 31.03.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
31.03.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 31.03.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER THE SOUTHEAST
BAY OF BENGAL (BOB) & ADJOINING SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA, A LOW PRESSURE
AREA FORMED OVER THE SAME REGION AT 0000 UTC OF TODAY, THE 31ST
MARCH 2021. AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 31ST MARCH 2021, IT PERSISTED
OVER THE SAME REGION . IT IS LIKELY TO BECOME MORE MARKED OVER
CENTRAL PARTS OF ANDAMAN SEA & NEIGHBOURHOOD DURING NEXT 24 HOURS
AND LIKELY TO CONCENTRATE INTO A DEPRESSION OVER THE SAME REGION
DURING SUBSEQUENT 24 HOURS.



AS PER SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 0300 UTC OF 31ST MARCH, SCATTERED TO
BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BOB AND ADJOINING ANDAMAN SEA BETWEEN
LATITUDE 5.0ON & 10.0ON AND LONGITUDE 90.0OE & 96.0OE IN ASSOCIATION
WITH THE LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER SOUTHEAST BOB & ADJOINING SOUTH
ANDAMAN SEA. MINIMUM CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE IS MINUS 93OC. SCATTERED
TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BOB AND ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL LOW LOW NIL NIL


ARABIAN SEA:


YESTERDAYS, LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA &
ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN BECAME LESS MARKED AT 0000 UTC OF
TODAY, THE 31ST MARCH 2021.

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL



REMARKS:

THE MADDEN JULIAN OSCILLATION (MJO) INDEX LIES CURRENTLY IN PHASE
5 WITH AMPLITUDE MORE THAN 1. IT WILL CONTINUE IN SAME PHASE DURING
NEXT 2 DAYS. THEREAFTER, IT WILL MOVE TO PHASE 6 WITH AMPLITUDE
REMAINING MORE THAN 1 AND WILL REMAIN IN SAME PHASE FOR SUBSEQUENT
3 DAYS. THUS, MJO PHASE AND AMPLITUDE WILL SUPPORT ENHANCEMENT OF
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY OVER THE BAY OF BENGAL (BOB) DURING NEXT 2-3
DAYS.
IT IS NOT CONDUCIVE FOR ENHANCEMENT OF ANY CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY OVER
THE ARABIAN SEA (AS).

THE LOW LEVEL POSITIVE VORTICITY HAS INCREASED & FURTHER ORGANISED
DURING PAST 24 HOURS AND IS ABOUT 80-90 X10-6SEC-1 OVER SOUTH
ANDAMAN SEA. POSITIVE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ZONE IS SAME DURING PAST
24 HOURS (5-10X10-5 SEC-1) OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA. POSITIVE ZONE
OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE HAS INCREASED (10-15X10-5 SEC-1) OVER
SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS MODERATE (10-20 KTS) OVER
ANDAMAN SEA AND ADJOINING EASTCENTRAL BOB. THE UPPER TROPOSPHERIC
RIDGE RAN ALONG 10.5ON OVER THE BOB.

THE LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER SOUTHEAST BOB & ADJOINING SOUTH ANDAMAN
SEA IS CURRENTLY LYING IN A FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT. SOME MODELS ARE
INDICATING FURTHER INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM INTO A DEPRESSION
DURING SUBSEQUENT 48 HOURS WITH NORTH-NORTHEASTWARDS MOVEMENT
TOWARDS NORTH ANDAMAN SEA AND WEAKENING THEREAFTER.
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WTIN20 DEMS 010600
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 01.04.2021

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF
BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT
0600 UTC OF 01.04.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 01.04.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:

YESTERDAY\U2019S LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL
(BOB) & ADJOINING SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA MOVED NORTHEASTWARDS AND LAY
CENTERED OVER CENTRAL PARTS OF ANDAMAN SEA AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY,
THE 1ST APRIL, 2021.

IT IS LIKELY TO BECOME A WELL MARKED LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE
SAME REGION DURING NEXT 12 HOURS. THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY THAT
IT MAY CONCENTRATE INTO A DEPRESSION OVER NORTH ANDAMAN SEA &
NEIGHBOURHOOD DURING SUBSEQUENT 24 HOURS. IT IS LIKELY TO MOVE
NORTHEASTWARDS TOWARDS MYANMAR COAST.

AS PER INSAT-3D IMAGERY BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 1ST APRIL, THE AREA OF
INTENSE CONVECTION HAS MOVED NORTHEASTWARDS DURING PAST 24 HOURS.
THE NUMBER OF CLUSTERS WITH INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION HAS
ALSO INCREASED DURING THE PERIOD. THE CLOUDS ARE ORGANISING AROUND
THE LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION (LLCC) OVER ANDAMAN SEA.
SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH \U200BEMBEDDED
INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER CENTRAL ANDAMAN SEA
ADJOINING SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL BETWEEN LATITUDE 6.0N & 12.0N
AND LONGITUDE 91.0E & 97.0E IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE LOW PRESSURE
AREA. MINIMUM CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE IS MINUS 93 OC. THE MICROWAVE
IMAGERY INDICATES BROAD SCALE CONVECTIVE CLOUD BANDING FEATURES
BUILDING UP WITH THE SYSTEM.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

LOW LOW NIL NIL NIL


ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE TO
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING
NEXT 120 HRS :


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


REMARKS:

THE MADDEN JULIAN OSCILLATION (MJO) INDEX LIES CURRENTLY IN PHASE 5
WITH AMPLITUDE MORE THAN 1. IT WILL CONTINUE IN SAME PHASE TILL 2ND
APRIL. THEREAFTER, IT WILL MOVE TO PHASE 6 WITH AMPLITUDE REMAINING
MORE THAN 1 AND WILL REMAIN IN SAME PHASE FOR SUBSEQUENT 3 DAYS.
THUS, MJO PHASE AND AMPLITUDE WILL SUPPORT ENHANCEMENT OF
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY OVER THE ANDAMAN SEA AND ADJOINING AREAS TILL
2ND APRIL AND WILL BECOME UNFAVOURABLE FROM 3RD ONWARDS. THUS THE
LARGE SCALE PROCESS LIKE MJO WILL SUPPORT INTENSIFICATION OF LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM TILL 2ND APRIL AND WEAKENING THEREAFTER.

THE LOW LEVEL POSITIVE VORTICITY HAS NOT CHANGED DURING PAST
24 HOURS AND IS ABOUT 80-90 X10-6SEC-1 OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.
THE AREAL EXTENSION OF POSITIVE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ZONE HAS
INCREASED DURING PAST 24 HOURS (5-10X10-5 SEC-1) AND IS COVERING
ENTIRE SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA. THE AREAL EXTENSION AND MAGNITUDE OF THE
ZONE OF POSITIVE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE HAS ALSO INCREASED (20X10-5
SEC-1) OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA. IT IS NOW SOUTH-SOUTHWEST TO
NORTH-NORTHEAST ORIENTED. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) IS MODERATE
(15-20 KTS) OVER ANDAMAN SEA AND ADJOINING EASTCENTRAL BOB. IT IS
HIGHER TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST SECTOR. THUS, AS THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVES NORTHEASTWARDS, IT WILL GRADUALLY ENTER INTO AN AREA
OF HIGH VWS, ESPECIALLY FROM 3RD APRIL ONWARDS. THE UPPER
TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE RAN ALONG 12ON OVER THE BOB. UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF THE ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHEAST ASIA AND UPPER
TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH IN WESTERLIES RUNNING ALONG 880E TO THE NORTH
OF 150N, THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WOULD MOVE NORTHEASTWARDS TOWARDS
MYANMAR COAST.

THE LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER CENTRAL PARTS OF ANDAMAN SEA AND
NEIGHBOURHOOD IS CURRENTLY LYING IN A FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT.
FEW MODELS ARE INDICATING INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM INTO A
DEPRESSION AROUND 2ND APRIL WITH NORTH-NORTHEASTWARDS MOVEMENT
TOWARDS MYANMAR COAST AND WEAKENING THEREAFTER.

CONSIDERING ALL THESE, THE LOW PRESSURE AREA IS LIKELY TO INTENSIFY
INTO A DEPRESSION WITH LOW PROBABILITY BY 2ND APRIL AND GRADUALLY
WEAKEN THEREAFTER. IT WOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARDS TOWARDS
MYANMAR COAST.
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WTIN20 DEMS 030831
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 03.04.2021

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF
BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0900 UTC OF 03.04.2021 BASED ON 0600 UTC OF 03.04.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:
THE DEPRESSION OVER NORTH ANDAMAN SEA & NEIGHBOURHOOD MOVED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARDS AND WEAKENED INTO A WELL MARKED LOW
PRESSURE AREA OVER NORTH ANDAMAN SEA AND ADJOINING SOUTH MYANMAR
COAST AT 0600 UTC OF TODAY, THE 03RD APRIL, 2021. IT IS LIKELY TO WEAKEN FURTHER INTO A LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE SAME REGION DURING NEXT 12
HOURS.

AS PER INSAT-3D IMAGERY AT 0600 UTC OF 03RD APRIL, THE CLOUDS
REMAINED SAME OVER NORTH ANDAMAN SEA. MAXIMUM CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTH
ANDAMAN SEA TO THE NORTHWEST OF SYSTEM CENTRE. THE MULTI-SATELLITE
BASED DERIVED WINDS INDICATE MSW OF 10-15 KTS TO THE EAST OF SYSTEM
CENTRE. THE LATEST SCATTEROMETER BASED WINDS CONTINUE TO SHOW
ESTIMATED W INDS AROUND 20-25 KTS. HOWEVER, CIRCULATION FEATURES ARE
NOT SEEN. THUS, INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN CHARACTERISED AS T 1.0/C.I.1.0. ASSOCIATED SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED
INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTH ANDAMAN SEA
BETWEEN LATITUDE 12.5N & 15.5N AND LONGITUDE 94.0E & 97.5E. MINIMUM
CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE IS MINUS 70 DEG C.

REMARKS:
THE LOW LEVEL POSITIVE VORTICITY IS ABOUT 50 \U2013 60 X10-6 SEC-1 OVER
ANDAMAN SEA AND ADJOINING SOUTH MYANMAR COAST. THE MAGNITUDE OF POSITIVE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE OVER THE SYSTEM AREA IS AROUND 5-10 X10-5 SEC-1 AND
IS NOW SEEN ALONG MYANMAR COAST. NO UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS SEEN
OVER THE SYSTEM AREA. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) IS MODERATE TO HIGH
(20-25 KTS) OVER NORTH ANDAMAN SEA AND ADJOINING SOUTH MYANMAR COAST.
THE ADVERSE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS LIKE ENHANCED VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR, DECREASED VORTICITY AND DECREASED CONVERGENCE OVER THE
SYSTEM AREA CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN INTO A WELL MARKED LOW
PRESSURE AREA.

THIS IS THE LAST BULLETIN IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS SYSTEM.
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WTIN20 DEMS 040640
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 04.04.2021

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF
BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC
OF 04.04.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 04.04.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:

YESTERDAY' WELL MARKED LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER NORTH ANDAMAN SEA
AND ADJOINING SOUTH MYANMAR COAST FURTHER WEAKENED INTO A LOW
PRESSURE AREA AT 1200 UTC OF 3RD APRIL, 2021 AND PERSISTED OVER
THE SAME REGION AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY.

AS PER SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 0300 UTC OF 4TH APRIL, 2021 SCATTERED
LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER GULF OF MARTABAN AND ADJOINING NORTH ANDAMAN
SEA & NEIGHBORHOOD IN ASSOCIATION WITH LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION OVER
THE AREA. MINIMUM CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE IS MINUS 85OC. SCATTERED
LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE
CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL(BOB), SOUTH ARAKAN
COAST AND ADJOINING EASTCENTRAL BOB, GULF OF MARTABAN AND SOUTH
ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS:


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL



ARABIAN SEA:



NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS OVER THE REGION.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS :


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


REMARKS:

NIL.
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WTIN20 DEMS 050700



REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES,
NEW DELHI TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 05.04.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
05.04.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 05.04.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER GULF OF MARTABAN AND MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER EASTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL. SCATTERED LOW AND
MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTHEAST BAY
OF BENGAL AND ARAKAN COAST.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS:



24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL





ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK CONVECTION LAY
OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA OFF SOUTH KERELA COAST.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS :





24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


REMARKS:
MIL
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WTIN20 DEMS 060600
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 06.04.2021

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
06.04.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 06.04.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO
MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL & ANDAMAN SEA
GULF OF MARTABAN.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

ARABIAN SEA:

NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS OVER THE REGION.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL
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WTIN20 DEMS 080600
REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES,
NEW DELHI TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 08.04.2021

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF
BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600
UTC OF 08.04.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 08.04.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO MODERATE
CONVECTION LAY OVER ANDAMAN SEA .



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS:



24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


ARABIAN SEA:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER LAKSHADWEEP AND NEIGHBOURHOOD.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS :





24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL







REMARKS:

NIL
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WTIN20 DEMS 110602
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 11.04.2021
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN
SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 11.04.2021 BASED
ON 0300 UTC OF
11.04.2021.
BAY OF BENGAL:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHW EST BAY OF BENGAL & ANDAMAN SEA.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 72-96 HOURS
96-120 HOURS
48-72 HOURS

NIL
NIL NIL NIL NIL
ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA OFF KERELA COAST &
NEIGHBOURHOOD. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE
TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA & COMORIN.
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WTIN20 DEMS 140600
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 14.04.2021

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
14.04.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 14.04.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL & ANDAMAN SEA. SCATTERED
LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION
LAY OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL & SOUTH PARTS OF CENTRAL BAY OF
BENGAL.


PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA OFF KARNATAKA KERALA COAST.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS : NIL
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WTIN20 DEMS 170600

REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES,
NEW DELHI TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 17.04.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
17.04.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 17.04.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST & EXTREME SOUTHEAST BAY OF
BENGAL

& SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA AND ALSO OVER GULF OF MARTABAN TENASSERIM COAST.
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK CONVECTION LAY
OVER NORTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS:



24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL



ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA AND MODERATE
TO

INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA & COMORIN.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS :



24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL




REMARKS: NIL
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WTIN20 DEMS 180542
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 18.04.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
18.04.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 18.04.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL (SOUTH OF LATITUDE 9.0N) &
ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN .SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS
WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:



24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL





ARABIAN SEA:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ARABIAN SEA (SOUTH OF LATITUDE 10.0N),
COMORIN & MALDIVES AREA OFF COASTAL KERALA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :





24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL







REMARKS: NIL
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WTIN20 DEMS 190602

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 19.04.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
19.04.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 19.04.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL ADJOINING
EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN & ANDAMAN SEA.SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM
CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER
SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


ARABIAN SEA:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ARABIAN SEA (SOUTH OF
LATITUDE 10.0N) AND MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER
NORTHWEST & WESTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


REMARKS: NIL
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WTIN20 DEMS 200559
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 20.04.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
20.04.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 20.04.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS:



24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL





ARABIAN SEA:



BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA OFF KERALA COAST (MINIMUM
CTT MINUS 850C) .SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED

MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA & WEAK
TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER WESTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


REMARKS: NIL
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WTIN20 DEMS 210520


REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES,
NEW DELHI
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 21.04.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
21.04.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 21.04.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO
MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTHWEST ADJOINING WESTCENTRAL BAY
OF BENGAL.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING
NEXT 120 HRS:



24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL



ARABIAN SEA:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO MODERATE
CONVECTION LAY OVER CENTRAL & SOUTH ARABIAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING
NEXT 120 HRS :



24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL



EMARKS: NIL
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WTIN20 DEMS 220520
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 22.04.2021

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
22.04.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 22.04.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO MODERATE
CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER CENTRAL & SOUTH ARABIAN SEA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL
=
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* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 230600
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 23.04.2021
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF
BENGAL AND ARABIAN
SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 23.04.2021
BASED ON 0300 UTC OF
23.04.2021.
BAY OF BENGAL:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTHWEST & WEST CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL &
SOUTH BAY OF
BENGAL,SOUTH OF LATITUDE 8.50 N AND ALSO OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS:
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS
72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
48-72 HOURS

NIL
NIL NIL NIL
NIL
ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY
INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA AND MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER REST OF ARABIAN SEA. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM
CLOUDS
WITH EMBEDDED W EAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER COMORIN
REGION.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS :
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS
72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL
NIL NIL
REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
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WTIN20 DEMS 240600

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 24.04.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF
BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600
UTC OF 24.04.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 24.04.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH PARTS OF SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL ADJOINING
EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN & SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS:



24 HOURS


24-48 HOURS


48-72 HOURS


72-96 HOURS


96-120 HOURS

NIL


NIL


NIL


NIL


NIL





ARABIAN SEA:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTH PARTS OF EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA
ADJOINING NORTHEAST ARABIAN SEA & GULF OF KUTCH. SCATTERED LOW
AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE
CONVECTION LAY OVER WESTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS :





24 HOURS


24-48 HOURS


48-72 HOURS


72-96 HOURS


96-120 HOURS

NIL


NIL


NIL


NIL


NIL







REMARKS: Nil
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
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WTIN20 DEMS 250630
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 25.04.2021

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
25.04.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 25.04.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER TENASERRIM COAST. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS
WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY
OF BENGAL AND ADJOINING SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 260609
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 26.04.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
26.04.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 26.04.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL,ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:



24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL





ARABIAN SEA:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE TO
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ARABIAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :





24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL







REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
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WTIN20 DEMS 270620
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 27.04.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC
OF 27.04.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 27.04.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA AND MODERATE TO
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL OFF NORTH
COASTAL TAMILNADU & NORTH ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL




ARABIAN SEA:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ARABIAN SEA AND MODERATE TO
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER COMORIN REGION.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL





REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
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WTIN20 DEMS 280542
DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 28.04.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
28.04.2021 BASED
ON 0300 UTC OF 28.04.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO
MODERATE CONVECTION
LAY OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL





ARABIAN SEA:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION
LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA OFF KERALA COAST & SOUTH ARABIAN SEA
(SOUTH OF
LATITUDE 8.00N).



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL







REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 290630
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 29.04.2021
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 29.04.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 29.04.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL,ANDAMAN SEA.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS


NIL
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ARABIAN SEA,COMORIN REGION.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS
96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL
NIL
REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 010618


TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 01.05.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
01.05.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 01.05.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER ARAKAN COAST AND MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL & NORTH ANDAMAN SEA.
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO MODERATE
CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTHWEST & WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL AND SOUTH
ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL





ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ARABIAN SEA & COMORIN. SCATTERED
LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY
OVER NORTH & CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA, GULF OF KUTCH & GULF OF CAMBAY.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL







REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 020559
REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW
DELHI TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 02.05.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
02.05.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 02.05.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL EAST ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL





ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION
LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA COMORIN. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM
CLOUDS WITH
EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST
ARABIAN SEA
ALSO
OVER NORTH ARABIAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL





REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 030540

REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES,
NEW DELHI TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 03.05.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
03.05.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 03.05.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL ADJOINING ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS:



24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL



ARABIAN SEA:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ARABIAN SEA. SCATTERED LOW AND
MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER
EXTREME WEST ARABIAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS :


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL



REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 040600
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 04.05.2021

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
04.05.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 04.05.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM
CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER
NORTH BAY OF BENGAL & SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA OFF KERALA COAST. SCATTERED
LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ARABIAN SEA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS : NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 050542

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 05.05.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
05.05.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 05.05.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL ADJOINING
EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN & SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA. SCATTERED LOW AND
MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION
LAY OVER NORTH & REST SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND NORTH ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


ARABIAN SEA:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ARABIAN SEA AND MODERATE TO
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER COMORIN REGION .SCATTERED LOW AND
MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER
EXTREME NORTHWEST ARABIAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL



REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 070550

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 07.05.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF
07.05.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:
SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL & ANDAMAN SEA.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS:

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA & COMORIN REGION. SCATTERED LOW
AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY
OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 090700

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 09.05.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
09.05.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 09.05.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL & ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL





ARABIAN SEA:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER EAST CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA OFF KARNATAKA
COAST,SOUTH ARABIAN SEA & COMORIN REGION. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM
CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTH
WEST & WEST CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL







REMARKS: NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 110829
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 11.05.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
11.05.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 11.05.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ANDAMAN SEA AND ISOLATED WEAK TO
MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL OFF SOUTH ANDHRA
PRADESH & TAMIL NADU COASTS.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:



24 HOURS


24-48 HOURS


48-72 HOURS


72-96 HOURS


96-120 HOURS

NIL


NIL


NIL


NIL


NIL





ARABIAN SEA:



BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER COMORIN AREA, SOUTH ARABIAN SEA AND ADJOINING
EQUATORIAL INDIA OCEAN (MINIMUM CTT MINUS 930C). SCATTERED LOW AND
MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION
LAY OVER WESTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA.



A LOW PRESSURE AREA IS LIKELY TO FORM OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA
AROUND 14TH MAY MORNING. IT IS VERY LIKELY TO MOVE
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARDS ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA & ADJOINING
LAKSHADWEEP AREA AND INTENSIFY INTO A DEPRESSION AROUND 15TH MAY. IT
MAY INTENSIFY INTO A CYCLONIC STORM OVER EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA
AROUND 16TH MAY AND CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARDS.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :





24 HOURS


24-48 HOURS


48-72 HOURS


72-96 HOURS


96-120 HOURS

NIL


NIL


LOW


MODERATE


HIGH





















REMARKS:



THE MADDEN JULIAN INDEX (MJO) CURRENTLY LIES IN PHASE 3 WITH
AMPLITUDE LESS THAN 1. THEREAFTER, IT WILL MOVE AROUND PHASE 2 WITH
AMPLITUDE INITIALLY BECOMING MORE THAN 1 DURING 16TH-17TH MAY AND
REMAINING LESS THAN 1 ON ALL OTHER DAYS DURING NEXT 6 DAYS. THUS, MJO
IS CONDUCIVE FOR ENHANCED CONVECTION OVER THE ARABIAN SEA (AS) DURING
NEXT 7 DAYS. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE HEAT POTENTIAL (TCHP) IS MORE THAN
140 KJ/CM2 OVER SOUTHEAST AS AND IS DECREASING OVER CENTRAL PARTS OF
CENTRAL AS & NORTH AS. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE (SST) IS AROUND 300C
OVER ENTIRE AS & 30-310C OVER SOUTHEAST AS. THE AREA OF CONVECTION
OVER CENTRAL PARTS OF SOUTH AS & ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN IS
STILL PERSISTING. HOWEVER, IT HAS FURTHER EXPANDED AND IS MOVING
EASTWARDS. ASSOCIATED MINIMUM CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE IS -930C. THE
CROSS EQUATORIAL FLOW IN THE NEAR EQUATORIAL BELT IS LIKELY TO GET
ENHANCED DURING NEXT 5 DAYS DUE TO WESTERLY WIND BURST.

THE LOW LEVEL VORTICITY IS 50 X10-6 S-1 TO THE SOUTHWEST OF SYSTEM
CENTRE. LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS THE SAME DURING PAST 24 HOURS AROUND
20-30 X10-5 S-1 TO THE SOUTHWEST OF SYSTEM CENTRE. THE UPPER LEVEL
DIVERGENCE HAS INCREASED DURING PAST 24 HOURS 40 X 10-5 S-1 TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF SYSTEM CENTRE. CURRENTLY, THE INVEST AREA IS IN A REGION
OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) (15-20 KTS). HOWEVER, VWS IS
LOW TO MODERATE OVER SOUTHEAST AS. MOST OF THE NUMERICAL MODELS ARE
INDICATING FORMATION OF LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER SOUTHEAST AS AROUND
14TH MAY WHICH WILL INTENSIFY INTO A DEPRESSION OVER SOUTHEAST
ARABIAN SEA AROUND 15TH MAY, MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARDS AND INTENSIFY
FURTHER INTO A CYCLONIC STORM AROUND 16TH MAY.

WITH THE EASTWARD MOVEMENT OF THE CLOUD CLUSTERS OVER CENTRAL PARTS
OF SOUTH ARABIAN SEA & ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN AND
PERSISTENCE OF FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT LIKE MJO , HIGH SST, HIGH TCHP,
GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW, MODERATE VWS AND WESTERLY WIND BURST, A LOW
PRESSURE AREA IS VERY LIKELY TO FORM OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA
AROUND 14TH MAY MORNING. IT IS VERY LIKELY TO INTENSIFY INTO A
DEPRESSION AROUND 15TH MAY, MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARDS ACROSS
SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA & ADJOINING LAKSHADWEEP AREA AND INTENSIFY
GRADUALLY INTO A CYCLONIC STORM OVER EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA AROUND
16TH MAY.
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 181728

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 1500 UTC OF
18.05.2021 BASED ON 1200 UTC OF 18.05.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO
VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL (BOB),
ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN AND ANDAMAN SEA. SCATTERED
LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION
LAY OVER SOUTHWEST BOB.



A LOW PRESSURE AREA IS LIKELY TO FORM OVER EASTCENTRAL BOB
AROUND 23RD MAY, 2021.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL





ARABIAN SEA:

BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER GULF OF CAMBAY, EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA OFF
NORTH KONKAN COAST & NEIGHBOURHOOD BETWEEN LATITUDE 18.0ON & 22.5ON
AND EAST OF LONG 69.0E. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH
EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER REST EASTCENTRAL
& ADJOINING NORTHEAST ARABIAN SEA AND SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 190645
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 19.05.2021
SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY
OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 19.05.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 13.05.2021.
A. DEPRESSION OVER SOUTH RAJASTHAN
AND ADJOINING GUJARAT REGION
(REMNANT OF ESCS TAUKTAE)
YESTERDAY DEEP DEPRESSION OVER GUJARAT REGION MOVED NORTHEASTWARDS
AND WEAKENED INTO A DEPRESSION OVER SOUTH RAJASTHAN AND ADJOINING GUJARAT
REGION AT 0000 UTC OF TODAY, THE 19TH MAY, 2021. AT 0300 UTC OF
TODAY, IT LAY AS A
DEPRESSION OVER SOUTHEAST RAJASTHAN NEAR LATITUDE 24.9ON AND LONGITUDE
73.7OE OVER SOUTHEAST RAJASTHAN AND NEIGHBOURHOOD, ABOUT 30 KM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF UDAIPUR (42542) AND 170 KM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DEESA
(42539).IT IS
VERY LIKELY TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARDS AND WEAKEN GRADUALLY INTO A WELL
MARKED LOW PRESSURE AREA DURING NEXT 12 HOURS. THE REMNANT OF THE SYSTEM
IS VERY LIKELY TO MOVE FURTHER NORTHEASTWARDS ACROSS RAJASTHAN TO UTTAR
PRADESH DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

AS PER SATELLITE IMAGERY BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 19TH MAY, BROKEN
LOW & MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED W EAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER GUJARAT, RAJASTHAN, MADHYA PRADESH AND NEIGHBOURHOOD.

B. STATUS OVER NORTH INDIAN OCEAN
BAY OF BENGAL:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL (BOB). SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM
CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTH BOB AND
SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.

A LOW PRESSURE AREA IS VERY LIKELY TO FORM OVER NORTH ANDAMAN SEA AND
ADJOINING EASTCENTRAL BOB AROUND 22ND MAY, 2021. IT IS VERY
LIKELY TO INTENSIFY
GRADUALLY INTO A CYCLONIC STORM DURING SUBSEQUENT 72 HOURS. IT IS VERY
LIKELY TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARDS AND REACH ODISHA - WEST BENGAL COASTS
AROUND 26TH MAY EVENING.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS:
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL LOW MODERATE


PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION):NIL: 0%, LOW:
1-25%, FAIR: 26-50%, MODERATE: 51-75% AND HIGH: 76-100%
THIS IS A GUIDANCE BULLETIN FOR THE WMO/ESCAP PANEL
MEMBER COUNTRIES,. PLEASE VISIT RESPECTIVE NATIONAL WEBSITES FOR
COUNTRY SPECIFIC BULLETINS

ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM
CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER REST
PARTS OF EAST ARABIAN SEA AND GULF OF CAMBAY.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120
HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

REMARKS:
SOUTHWEST MONSOON IS LIKEY TO ADVANCE OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA AND ADJOINING SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AROUND 21ST MAY. IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS, THE SOUTHWESTERLY CROSS EQUATORIAL FLOW IS LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN AND
DEEPEN DURING 21ST-24TH MAY AND HENCE THE CONVECTION IS LIKELY TO GET
ENHANCED OVER THE ANDAMAN SEA AND ADJOINING EASTCENTRAL BOB FAVOURING CYCLOGENESIS.
THE MADDEN JULIAN INDEX (MJO) CURRENTLY LIES IN PHASE 4 WITH AMPLITUDE MORE THAN 1 AND WILL CONTINUE IN SAME PHASE DURING NEXT TWO DAYS.
THEREAFTER IT WILL MOVE TO PHASE 5 AND CONTINUE IN SAME PHASE WITH AMPLITUDE REMAINING MORE THAN 1 FOR SUBSEQUENT 4 DAYS. THUS, MJO IS CONDUCIVE FOR ENHANCED CONVECTION OVER THE BAY OF BENGAL (BOB) DURING NEXT 7 DAYS.
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE HEAT POTENTIAL (TCHP) IS MORE THAN 1 00 KJ/CM2 OVER
MAJOR PARTS OF BOB. IT IS SLIGHTLY DECREASING OVER EXTREME NORTH BOB AND
ALONG & OFF ANDHRA, ODISHA, WEST BENGAL COASTS. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE (SST) IS AROUND 30-310C OVER MAJOR PARTS OF BOB.
EASTERLY WINDS ARE PREVAILING IN THE UPPER LEVEL. UPPER TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE RUNS ALONG 22.00N. A ZONE OF POSITIVE VORTICITY 50-60 X10-6 S-1
IS PREVAILING
OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA & ADJOINING SOUTHEAST BOB WITH VERTICAL EXTENSION
UPTO 200 HPA LEVEL. TWO ZONES OF POSITIVE CONVERGENCE (5-10 X10-5 S-1) PERSIST OVER SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHEAST BOB. AN ELONGATED ZONE OF POSITIVE UPPER
LEVEL DIVERGENCE (5-10 X 10-5 S-1) LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BOB UPTO
EASTCENTRAL BOB.
THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS MODERATE (VWS) (15-20 KTS) OVER MAJOR PARTS OF CENTRAL & NORTH BOB TO THE NORTH OF 12ON.
MOST OF THE NUMERICAL MODELS INCLUDING IMD GFS, NCEP GFS,
ECMWF, NCUM,
ARE INDICATING FORMATION OF A LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER NORTH ANDAMAN SEA
AND ADJOINING EASTCENTRAL BOB AROUND 22ND AND FORMATION OF DEPRESSION
AROUND 23RD. MODELS ARE CONVERGENT ABOUT THE NORTHWESTWARDS MOVEMENT
AND FURTHER INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM. HOWEVER, AT PRESENT THERE
IS LARGE DIVERGENCE WRT CROSSING LOCATION OF THE SYSTEM.
IN VIEW OF FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENTAL FEATURES AND AVAILABLE
MODEL GUIDANCE, IT IS INFERRED THAT A LOW PRESSURE AREA IS VERY LIKELY TO
FORM OVER NORTH ANDAMAN SEA AND ADJOINING EASTCENTRAL BOB AROUND 22ND MAY, 2021. IT IS VERY LIKELY TO INTENSIFY GRDUALLY INTO A CYCLONIC STORM DURING SUBSEQUENT 72 HOURS. IT IS VERY LIKELY TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARDS AND REACH WEST BENGAL \U2013 ODISHA COASTS AROUND 26TH MAY EVENING. CONTINUOUS WATCH IS BEING MAINTAINED OVER ANDAMAN SEA AND ADJOINING BOB REGION FOR PROBABLE CYCLOGENESIS (DEVELOPMENT OF DEPRESSION) AROUND 23RD MAY.
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 200650
REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICAL CYCLONES, NEW
DELHI TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 20.05.2021
SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF
BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 20.05.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 20.05.2021.

A. STATUS OVER NORTH INDIAN OCEAN
BAY OF BENGAL:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH & CENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL (BOB) AND ANDAMAN SEA.
A LOW PRESSURE AREA IS VERY LIKELY TO FORM OVER NORTH ANDAMAN SEA AND
ADJOINING EASTCENTRAL BOB AROUND 22ND MAY, 2021. IT IS VERY LIKELY TO
INTENSIFY INTO A CYCLONIC STORM BY 24TH. IT IS VERY LIKELY TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARDS AND
REACH NEAR ODISHA - WEST BENGAL COASTS AROUND 26TH MAY MORNING.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL LOW MODERATE HIGH

ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST & ADJOINING EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA OFF
KARNATAKA COAST.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL

B. LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER SOUTHWEST UTTAR PRADESH (REMNANT OF ESCS TAUKTAE) YESTERDAY DEPRESSION OVER SOUTH RAJASTHAN AND ADJOINING GUJARAT REGION
WEAKENED INTO A WELL MARKED LOW PRESSURE AREA IN THE SAME EVENING AT 1200
UTC (19THMAY) OVER EAST RAJASTHAN & ADJOINING WEST MADHYA PRADESH. MOVING FURTHER NORTHEASTWARDS, IT WEAKENED INTO A LOW PRESSURE AREA (LPA) OVER NORTHWEST MADHYA PRADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD IN THE MORNING (0000 UTC) OF
TODAY, THE 20TH MAY, 2021. AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, IT LAY AS AN LPA
OVER SOUTHWEST UTTAR PRADESH.
AS PER SATELLITE IMAGERY BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 20TH MAY, SCATTERED LOW &
PAGE 2
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION):NIL: 0%, LOW:
1-25%, FAIR: 26-50%, MODERATE: 51-75% AND HIGH: 76-100%
THIS IS A GUIDANCE BULLETIN FOR THE WMO/ESCAP PANEL MEMBER
COUNTRIES,. PLEASE VISIT RESPECTIVE NATIONAL WEBSITES FOR COUNTRY
SPECIFIC BULLETINS

MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY
OVER EXTREME NORTHEAST RAJASTHAN ADJOINING NORTHWEST MADHYA PRADESH,
EAST HARYANA, DELHI, NORTHWEST UTTAR PRADESH.
OBSERVED TRACK OF EXTERMELY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM TAUKTAE IS ATTACHED
HEREWITH. AS THE SYSTEM IS OVER LAND, THIS IS LAST UPDATE IN
ASSOCIATION WITH REMNANT OF TAUKTAE IN THIS BULLETIN.
REMARKS FOR THE EXPECTED SYSTEM OVER BOB:
SOUTHWEST MONSOON IS LIKEY TO ADVANCE OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA AND
ADJOINING SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AROUND 21ST MAY. IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS, THE SOUTHWESTERLY CROSS EQUATORIAL FLOW IS LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN AND
DEEPEN DURING 21ST-24TH MAY AND HENCE THE CONVECTION IS LIKELY TO GET
ENHANCED OVER THE ANDAMAN SEA AND ADJOINING EASTCENTRAL BOB FAVOURING CYCLOGENESIS.
THE MADDEN JULIAN INDEX (MJO) CURRENTLY LIES IN PHASE 4 WITH AMPLITUDE
MORE THAN 1. THEREAFTER, IT WILL MOVE TO PHASE 5 AND CONTINUE IN SAME PHASE WITH AMPLITUDE REMAINING MORE THAN 1 DURING SUBSEQUENT 4 DAYS. THUS, MJO IS CONDUCIVE FOR ENHANCED CONVECTION OVER THE BAY OF BENGAL (BOB) DURING
NEXT 5 DAYS. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE HEAT POTENTIAL (TCHP) IS MORE THAN
100 KJ/CM2
OVER MAJOR PARTS OF BOB. IT IS SLIGHTLY DECREASING OVER EXTREME NORTH BOB
AND ALONG & OFF ANDHRA, ODISHA, WEST BENGAL COASTS. SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURE (SST) IS AROUND 30-310C OVER MAJOR PARTS OF BOB.
EASTERLY WINDS ARE PREVAILING IN THE UPPER LEVEL. UPPER TROPOSPHERIC
RIDGE RUNS ALONG 22.00N. A ZONE OF POSITIVE VORTICITY 30-40 X10-6 S-1
IS PREVAILING
OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA & ADJOINING SOUTHEAST BOB WITH VERTICAL EXTENSION
UPTO 200 HPA LEVEL. A NORTH-SOUTH ORIENTED POSITIVE CONVERGENCE ZONE (10 X
10-5 S-1) PERSISTS OVER CENTRAL PARTS OF BOB. AN EAST-WEST ORIENTED ZONE OF POSITIVE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE (10-20 X 10-5 S-1) LAY OVER SOUTHERN PARTS OF BOB. THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS MODERATE (VWS) (15-20 KTS) OVER MAJOR
PARTS OF ANDAMAN SEA, CENTRAL & NORTH BOB TO THE NORTH OF 12ON.
MOST OF THE NUMERICAL MODELS INCLUDING IMD GFS, NCEP GFS, ECMWF AND
NCUM, ARE INDICATING FORMATION OF A LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER NORTH ANDAMAN
SEA AND ADJOINING EASTCENTRAL BOB AROUND 22ND WITH NORTHWESTWARDS
MOVEMENT AND INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM UPTO SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
CATEGORY. THE MEAN MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM WOULD REACH ODISHA-WEST BENGAL COASTS AROUND 26TH MORNING.
IN VIEW OF FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENTAL FEATURES AND AVAILABLE MODEL
GUIDANCE, IT IS INFERRED THAT A LOW PRESSURE AREA IS VERY LIKELY TO FORM OVER NORTH ANDAMAN SEA AND ADJOINING EASTCENTRAL BOB AROUND 22ND MAY, 2021 WITH MODERATE TO HIGH PROBABILITY OF FORMATION OF DEPRESSION AROUND 23RD. THE
SYSTEM IS VERY LIKELY TO INTENSIFY INTO A CYCLONIC STORM BY 24TH. IT IS VERY LIKELY TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARDS AND REACH NEAR ODISHA - WEST BENGAL
COASTS AROUND 26TH MAY MORNING. CONTINUOUS WATCH IS BEING MAINTAINED
OVER ANDAMAN SEA AND ADJOINING SOUTHEAST BOB REGION FOR PROBABLE CYCLOGENESIS (DEVELOPMENT OF DEPRESSION) AROUND 23RD MAY.
PAGE 3
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION):NIL: 0%, LOW:
1-25%, FAIR: 26-50%, MODERATE: 51-75% AND HIGH: 76-100%
THIS IS A GUIDANCE BULLETIN FOR THE WMO/ESCAP PANEL MEMBER
COUNTRIES,. PLEASE VISIT RESPECTIVE NATIONAL WEBSITES FOR COUNTRY
SPECIFIC BULLETINS
LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER
SOUTHWEST UTTAR PRADESH
PAGE 4
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION):NIL: 0%, LOW:
1-25%, FAIR: 26-50%, MODERATE: 51-75% AND HIGH: 76-100%
THIS IS A GUIDANCE BULLETIN FOR THE WMO/ESCAP PANEL MEMBER
COUNTRIES,. PLEASE VISIT RESPECTIVE NATIONAL WEBSITES FOR COUNTRY
SPECIFIC BULLETINS OBSERVED TRACK OF ESCS TAUKTAE (14-19 MAY, 2021)
=
--- SBBSecho 3.12-Linux
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WTIN20 DEMS 211211
DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 21.05.2021
SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY
OF BENGAL AND
ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
21.05.2021 BASED ON 0300
UTC OF 21.05.2021.
BAY OF BENGAL:
SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE
TO VERY
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL (BOB)
AND
ANDAMAN SEA. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH
EMBEDDED
ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTH BAY OF
BENGAL.
A LOW PRESSURE AREA IS VERY LIKELY TO FORM OVER EASTCENTRAL BOB
AND
ADJOINING NORTH ANDAMAN SEA AROUND 22ND MAY, 2021. IT IS VERY
LIKELY TO
INTENSIFY INTO A CYCLONIC STORM BY 24TH. IT IS VERY LIKELY TO
MOVE
NORTHWESTWARDS AND REACH NEAR ODISHA - WEST BENGAL COASTS AROUND
26TH
MAY MORNING.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS:
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS
72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
48-72 HOURS
MODERATE
HIGH HIGH
NIL LOW
ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY
INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH PARTS OF EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA AND
SOUTH
ARABIAN SEA. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED
MODERATE TO
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER COMORIN.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS :
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS
72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL
NIL NIL
REMARKS FOR THE EXPECTED SYSTEM OVER BOB:
SOUTHWEST MONSOON IS LIKEY TO ADVANCE OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN
SEA AND
ADJOINING SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AROUND 21ST MAY. IN ASSOCIATION
WITH THIS,
THE SOUTHWESTERLY CROSS EQUATORIAL FLOW IS LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN
AND
DEEPEN DURING 21ST-24TH MAY AND HENCE THE CONVECTION IS LIKELY TO
GET
ENHANCED OVER THE ANDAMAN SEA AND ADJOINING EASTCENTRAL BOB
FAVOURING
CYCLOGENESIS.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION):NIL: 0%, LOW:
1-25%, FAIR: 26-50%, MODERATE: 51-75% AND HIGH: 76-100%
THIS IS A GUIDANCE BULLETIN FOR THE WMO/ESCAP PANEL
MEMBER COUNTRIES,. PLEASE VISIT RESPECTIVE NATIONAL WEBSITES FOR
COUNTRY
SPECIFIC BULLETINS
THE MADDEN JULIAN INDEX (MJO) CURRENTLY LIES IN PHASE 5 WITH
AMPLITUDE
MORE THAN 1 AND WILL CONTINUE IN SAME PHASE DURING NEXT 2 DAYS.
THEREAFTER,
IT WILL MOVE TO PHASE 6 W ITH AMPLITUDE BECOMING LESS THAN 1 DURING
SUBSEQUENT 3 DAYS. THUS, MJO IS CONDUCIVE FOR ENHANCED CONVECTION
OVER THE
BAY OF BENGAL (BOB) DURING NEXT 3 DAYS. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE HEAT
POTENTIAL
(TCHP) IS MORE THAN 100 KJ/CM2 OVER MAJOR PARTS OF BOB. IT IS
SLIGHTLY
DECREASING OVER EXTREME NORTH BOB AND ALONG & OFF ANDHRA, ODISHA,
WEST
BENGAL COASTS. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE (SST) IS AROUND 30-310C OVER
MAJOR
PARTS OF BOB.
EASTERLY WINDS ARE PREVAILING IN THE UPPER LEVEL. UPPER
TROPOSPHERIC
RIDGE RUNS ALONG 22.00N. A ZONE OF POSITIVE VORTICITY 30-40 X10-6 S-1
IS PREVAILING
OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA & ADJOINING SOUTHEAST BOB WITH VERTICAL
EXTENSION
UPTO 200 HPA LEVEL. TWO ZONES OF POSITIVE CONVERGENCE ZONE (10-15 X
10-5 S-1) LAY
OVER NORTH ANDAMAN SEA & CENTRAL PARTS OF BOB. AN EAST-WEST ORIENTED
ZONE
OF POSITIVE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE (20-30 X 10-5 S-1) LAY OVER
SOUTHERN PARTS OF
BOB. THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS MODERATE (VWS) (15-20 KTS) OVER MAJOR
PARTS OF
ANDAMAN SEA, CENTRAL & NORTH BOB TO THE NORTH OF 12ON.
MOST OF THE NUMERICAL MODELS INCLUDING IMD GFS, NCEP GFS, ECMWF
AND
NCUM, ARE INDICATING FORMATION OF A LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER
EASTCENTRAL BOB
AND ADJOINING NORTH ANDAMAN SEA AROUND 22ND W ITH NORTHWESTWARDS
MOVEMENT AND INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM UPTO VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC
STORM CATEGORY. HOWEVER, THERE IS LARGE DIVERGENCE AMONG VARIOUS
MODELS
W.R.T. LANDFALL LOCATION. THE MEAN MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE
SYSTEM
WOULD REACH ODISHA-WEST BENGAL COASTS AROUND 26TH MORNING.
IN VIEW OF FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENTAL FEATURES AND AVAILABLE
MODEL
GUIDANCE, IT IS INFERRED THAT A LOW PRESSURE AREA IS VERY LIKELY TO
FORM OVER
EASTCENTRAL BOB AND ADJOINING NORTH ANDAMAN SEA AROUND 22ND MAY,
2021. IT IS
VERY LIKELY TO INTENSIFY INTO A CYCLONIC STORM BY 24TH. IT IS VERY
LIKELY TO
MOVE NORTHWESTWARDS AND REACH NEAR ODISHA - WEST BENGAL COASTS AROUND
26TH MAY MORNING. CONTINUOUS WATCH IS BEING MAINTAINED OVER ANDAMAN
SEA AND
ADJOINING SOUTHEAST BOB REGION FOR PROBABLE CYCLOGENESIS (DEVELOPMENT
OF
DEPRESSION) AROUND 23RD MAY.
=
---
þ SLMR 2.1a þ It's time for the Possum Lodge Word Game!!!
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175)

WTIN20 DEMS 220709 COR
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 22.05.2021



SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY
OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT
0600 UTC OF 22.05.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 22.05.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:



A LOW PRESSURE AREA HAS FORMED OVER EASTCENTRAL BOB TODAY THE 22ND
MAY 2021 MORNING (0300 UTC). IT IS VERY LIKELY TO CONCENTRATE INTO
A DEPRESSION OVER EASTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL BY TOMORROW, THE 23RD
MAY MORNING. IT IS VERY LIKELY MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARDS, INTENSIFY
INTO A CYCLONIC STORM BY 24TH MAY AND FURTHER INTO A VERY SEVERE
CYCLONIC STORM DURING SUBSEQUENT 24 HOURS. IT WOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARDS, INTENSIFY FURTHER AND REACH NORTH BAY OF
BENGAL NEAR WEST BENGAL AND ADJOINING NORTH ODISHA & BANGLADESH
COASTS AROUND 26TH MAY MORNING. IT IS VERY LIKELY TO CROSS WEST
BENGAL AND ADJOINING NORTH ODISHA & BANGLADESH COASTS AROUND EVENING
OF 26TH MAY.

THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 10-15 KMPH GUSTING TO 25 KMPH
AROUND SYSTEM CENTRE. SEA CONDITION IS ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH. THE
ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 HPA.



SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO
VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER BAY OF BENGAL (BOB) AND ANDAMAN
SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS:



24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS

MODERATE HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH





ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ARABIAN SEA AND COMORIN.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS :

24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS


NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL





REMARKS:



IN VIEW OF THE ADVANCE OF SOUTHWEST MONSOON OVER ANDAMAN SEA AND
SOUTHEAST BOB, THERE IS SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN WESTERLIES OVER THE
REGION. THIS WILL FAVOUR THE INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM.



THE MADDEN JULIAN INDEX (MJO) CURRENTLY LIES IN PHASE 5 WITH
AMPLITUDE MORE THAN 1 AND WILL CONTINUE IN SAME PHASE TILL 24TH MAY.
THUS, MJO IS CONDUCIVE FOR ENHANCED CONVECTION OVER THE BAY OF
BENGAL (BOB) DURING NEXT 3 DAYS. THE TROPICAL CYCLONE HEAT POTENTIAL
(TCHP) IS MORE THAN 100 KJ/CM2 OVER MAJOR PARTS OF BOB. IT IS
SLIGHTLY DECREASING OVER EXTREME NORTH BOB AND ALONG & OFF ANDHRA
, ODISHA, WEST BENGAL COASTS. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE (SST) IS
AROUND 30-310C OVER MAJOR PARTS OF BOB.

EASTERLY WINDS ARE PREVAILING IN THE UPPER LEVEL. UPPER TROPOSPHERIC
RIDGE RUNS ALONG 22.00N. AN EAST-WEST ORIENTED POSITIVE VORTICITY
ZONE 70-80 X10-6 S-1 IS PREVAILING TO THE SOUTH OF SYSTEM CENTRE
OVER CENTRAL BOB WITH VERTICAL EXTENSION UPTO 200 HPA LEVEL. AN
EAST-WEST ORIENTED POSITIVE CONVERGENCE ZONE (5-10 X 10-5 S-1) LAY
TO THE SOUTH OF SYSTEM CENTRE OVER CENTRAL BOB. AN EAST-WEST
ORIENTED ZONE OF POSITIVE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE (10-20 X 10-5 S-1)
LAY OVER CENTRAL BOB. LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS)
(10-15 KTS) IS PREVAILING OVER CENTRAL & NORTH BOB TO THE NORTH OF
12ON WHICH IS HIGHLY FAVOURABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION OF SYSTEM.

MOST OF THE NUMERICAL MODELS INCLUDING IMD GFS, NCEP GFS, ECMWF AND
NCUM, ARE INDICATING FORMATION OF DEPRESSION OVER EASTCENTRAL BOB
BY 23RD WITH NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOVEMENT TOWARDS WEST BENGAL AND
ADJOINING NORTH ODISHA & BANGLADESH COASTS. MODELS ARE HIGHLY
CONVERGENT ABOUT RAPID INTENSIFICATION OF SYSTEM UPTO VERY SEVERE
CYCLONIC STORM CATEGORY. HOWEVER, THERE IS DIVERGENCE AMONG VARIOUS
MODELS W.R.T. LANDFALL LOCATION AND TIME. CONSIDERING THE MEAN MODEL
GUIDANCE, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REACH NORTH BAY OF BENGAL NEAR
WEST BENGAL AND ADJOINING NORTH ODISHA & BANGLADESH COASTS AROUND
26TH MAY MORNING. IT IS VERY LIKELY TO CROSS WEST BENGAL AND
ADJOINING NORTH ODISHA & BANGLADESH COASTS AROUND EVENING OF 26TH
MAY.

IN VIEW OF HIGHLY FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENTAL FEATURES AND AVAILABLE
MODEL GUIDANCE, IT IS INFERRED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT THE LOW
PRESSURE AREA OVER BOB IS VERY LIKELY TO CONCENTRATE INTO A
DEPRESSION OVER EASTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL BY 23RD MAY MORNING. IT
IS VERY LIKELY MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARDS, INTENSIFY INTO A CYCLONIC
STORM BY 24TH MAY AND FURTHER INTO A VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
DURING SUBSEQUENT 24 HOURS. IT WOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH-
NORTHWESTWARDS, INTENSIFY FURTHER AND REACH NORTH BAY OF BENGAL
NEAR WEST BENGAL NORTH ODISHA COASTS AROUND 26TH MAY MORNING.
IT IS VERY LIKELY TO CROSS WEST BENGAL AND ADJOINING NORTH ODISHA &
BANGLADESH COASTS AROUND EVENING OF 26TH MAY.
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WTIN20 DEMS 270735
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 27.05.2021
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF
BENGAL AND ARABIAN
SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0700 UTC OF 27.05.2021
BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 27.05.2021.
(A) DEEP DEPRESSION (REMNANT OF VSCS YAAS) OVER SOUTH JHARKHAND
THE DEEP DEPRESSION OVER SOUTH JHARKHAND AND NEIGHBORHOOD MOVED NEARLY
NORTHWARDS WITH A SPEED OF ABOUT 05 KMPH DURING PAST 6 HOURS AND LAY
CENTRED AT 0830 HRS IST OF TODAY, THE 27TH MAY, 2021 OVER SOUTH
JHARKHAND AND NEIGHBOURHOOD, NEAR LATITUDE 22.9ON AND LONGITUDE 85.5OE, ABOUT 70KM WEST-NORTHWEST OF JAMSHEDPUR AND 65 KM SOUTHEAST OF RANCHI
(JHARKHAND).
THE SYSTEM IS VERY LIKELY TO MOVE NEARLY NORTHWARDS AND WEAKEN
INTO A
DEPRESSION DURING NEXT 03 HOURS.
THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS
AROUND
SYSTEM CENTRE. THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 HPA.
AS PER SATELLITE IMAGERY BASED ON 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 27TH
MAY, BROKEN LOW
AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY
OVER GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, NORTH ODISHA, NORTH CHATTISGARH, REST
PARTS OF
JHARKHAND, EAST BIHAR & NEIGHBOURHOOD.
(B) BAY OF BENGAL:
SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE
TO VERY
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL (BOB) AND
ANDAMAN SEA.
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER REST PARTS OF SOUTH BOB.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS:
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS 48-72 HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL
(C) ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENS
E
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA (AS). SCATTERED LOW AND
MEDIUM
CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY
OVER
EASTCENTRAL AS.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS:
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS 48-72
HOURS

NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION):NIL: 0%, LOW:
1-25%,
FAIR: 26-50%, MODERATE: 51-75% AND HIGH: 76-100%
THIS IS A GUIDANCE BULLETIN FOR THE WMO/ESCAP PANEL MEMBER COUNTRIES,.
PLEASE VISIT RESPECTIVE NATIONAL WEBSITES FOR COUNTRY SPECIFIC BULLETINS
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WTIN20 DEMS 280610
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 28.05.2021

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 28.05.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 28.05.2021.



BAY OF BENGAL:
YESTERDAY'S DEEP DEPRESSION WEAKENED INTO A DEPRESSION AT 0600 UTC OF 27TH MAY OVER CENTRAL PARTS OF JHARKHAND AND INTO A WELL MARKED LOW PRESSURE AREA AT 0000 UTC OF TODAY, THE 28TH MAY OVER BIHAR AND ADJOINING EAST UTTAR PRADESH. THIS IS LAST UPDATE IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS SYSTEM.

SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER ANDAMAN SEA ADJOINING SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL.


PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS:


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS
NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL
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WTIN20 DEMS 310600
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 31.05.2021
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 31.05.2021 BASED
ON 0300 UTC OF 31.05.2021.

BAY OF BENGAL:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER W ESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL OFF NORTH COASTAL
ANDHRA PRADESH & SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS
WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF
BENGAL, ARAKAN COAST & GULF OF MARTABAN.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 72-96 HOURS
96-120 HOURS
48-72 HOURS

NIL
NIL NIL NIL NIL

ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER EASTCENTRAL ADJOINING SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA BETWEEN LATITUDE 10.00N TO 17.00N LONGITUDE 65.00E TO 71.00E. SCATTERED LOW
AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED W EAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER W ESTCENTRAL ADJOINING SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA & COMORIN.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 72-96 HOURS
96-120 HOURS
48-72 HOURS

NIL
NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS:NIL
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WTIN20 DEMS 010715

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 01.06.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
01.06.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 01.06.2021.







BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:


24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS


NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL



ARABIAN SEA:





SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER EASTCENTRAL AND ADJOINING SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA
BET LAT 9.0N TO 17.0N EAST OF LONG 60.0E.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:



24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS


NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL


REMARKS:NIL
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WTIN20 DEMS 030630

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 03.06.2021



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF
BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600
UTC OF 03.06.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 03.06.2021.







BAY OF BENGAL:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:





24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS



NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL




ARABIAN SEA:



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER EASTCENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST ARABIAN.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS:



24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS



NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL






REMARKS:NIL
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WTIN20 DEMS 040615
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 04.06.2021
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 04.06.2021 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 04.06.2021.
BAY OF BENGAL:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST ADJOINING SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AND
SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 72-96 HOURS
96-120 HOURS
48-72 HOURS

NIL
NIL NIL NIL NIL
ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA OFF GOA-KARNATAKA COASTS
&
SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA OFF KERALA COAST. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM
CLOUDS
WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER COMORIN.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 72-96 HOURS
96-120 HOURS
48-72 HOURS

NIL
NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS:NIL
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WTIN20 DEMS 080800
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 08.06.2021
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 08.06.2021 BASED
ON 0300 UTC OF 08.06.2021.
BAY OF BENGAL:
A LOW PRESSURE AREA IS LIKELY TO FORM OVER NORTH BAY OF BENGAL &
NEIGHBOURHOOD AROUND 11TH JUNE, 2021.
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER EAST BAY OF BENGAL AND ANDAMAN SEA. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER
SOUTHW EST BAY OF BENGAL OFF TAMILNADU COAST & NORTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL. PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS(FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS:
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 72-96 HOURS
96-120 HOURS
48-72 HOURS

MOD
NIL NIL NIL LOW
ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA OFF MAHA COAST AND SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA COMORIN.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120 HRS:
24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 72-96 HOURS
96-120 HOURS
48-72 HOURS

NIL
NIL NIL NIL NIL
REMARKS: NIL
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