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  • Indian-S: Danilo W47

    From Weather Alert@21:1/175 to All on Tue Jan 12 03:44:00 2021
    WTIO30 FMEE 120027
    RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER / LA REUNION
    TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

    0.A WARNING NUMBER: 47/6/20202021
    1.A REMNANT LOW 6 (DANILO)

    2.A POSITION 2021/01/12 AT 0000 UTC:
    WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.3 S / 56.6 E
    (NINETEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND
    FIFTY SIX DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST)
    MOVEMENT: WEST 6 KT

    3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS: NIL
    4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE: 1006 HPA
    5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN): 20 KT
    RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS (RMW): NIL

    6.A EXTENSION OF WIND BY QUADRANTS (KM):
    NIL

    7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 700 KM
    8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW

    1.B FORECASTS (WINDS RADII IN KM):
    12H: 2021/01/12 12 UTC: 19.4 S / 54.9 E, VENT MAX= 020 KT, FILLING UP

    24H: 2021/01/13 00 UTC: 19.6 S / 52.7 E, VENT MAX= 020 KT,
    DISSIPATING


    2.B LONGER-RANGE OUTLOOK:
    NIL


    2.C ADDITIONAL INFORMATION:
    DANILO CENTER KEEP ON MOVING MOSTLY WESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING
    INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. CONVECTIVE ACITVITY REUSMED NEAR
    THE CENTER BUT IT DOES NOT SUGGEST A NEW DEEPENING PHASE. THE VERY
    DRY ENVIRONMENT IN MID TROPOSPHERE AND THE LACK OF LOW LEVELS
    CONVERGENCE WILL GRADUALLY LEAD TO DISSIPATION WITHIN THE NEXT 24
    HOURS.
    =
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